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  • Writer's pictureEmergency Manager's Weekly Report

Russian Invasion of Ukraine Situation Report #95

  • The Ukrainian military is reporting the following Russian losses:

o 331,110 Soldiers (Wounded or Killed) o 5,571 Tanks o 10,385 Armored vehicles o 7,941 Artillery o 5,994 Drones o 323 Aircraft o 324 Helicopters o 1,568 Cruise missiles

  • The United Kingdom’s Ministry of Defense is reporting the following:

o Public Dissent of Russian Soldier’s Wives: ü The Russian authorities are likely attempting to quash public dissent by wives of deployed Russian soldiers, including by attempting to pay them off and discrediting them online. This follows small scale protests in Moscow in November 2023. ü Research by independent Russia media outlets and comments by protesting wives themselves suggest that, in recent weeks, the authorities have likely offered increased cash payments to families in return for them refraining from protest. ü On November 27th, one prominent online group for soldiers’ wives published a manifesto against ‘indefinite mobilization’. Around November 31st, the group was pinned with a ‘fake’ warning label – likely at the instigation of pro-Kremlin actors. ü The authorities are likely particularly sensitive to any protests related to those citizens mobilized in September 2022, who have now been at the front line for over a year. o Production of Russian Uncrewed Surface Vehicles: ü The Russian defense industry is moving to close the capability gap with Ukraine in the development of one-way attack uncrewed surface vehicles (OWA USVs). On 27 November 2023, Mikhail Danilenko, head of Russian firm KMZ, announced their USVs would be trialed in the ‘special military operation’ with a view to establishing series production in 2024. ü KMZ has previously manufactured a range of USVs, but in recent months they have started promoting their OWA capability; Danilenko said the boat could carry a munition of up to 600 kg. ü Navies have employed USVs since the Second World War. However, with modern types resembling speedboats packed with explosives, in the hands of Ukrainian forces they have emerged as a key capability in maritime domain since Russia’s full-scale invasion. o Deployment of Russia’s 104th Guards Airborne Division: ü Russia’s airborne forces, the VDV, has likely started deploying the newly formed 104th Guards Airborne Division (104 GAD) in Ukraine for the first time. The division is probably assembling in Kherson Oblast. ü In August 2023, Russian defense minister Sergei Shoigu announced plans to re-establish 104 GAD, which was previously downsized to a smaller, brigade-sized formation in 1998. Its subordinate units likely include the 337th regiment, an additional manoeuvre regiment, and the 52nd Artillery Brigade. With the addition of the 104 GAD, the number of divisions in the VDV’s order of battle will increase to five. ü The division will likely be poorly trained and is unlikely to meet the erstwhile elite standards of the VDV. It will almost certainly receive scrutiny from the Russian General responsible for Kherson, General Colonel Mikhail Teplinsky; his routine role is overall commander of the VDV.

  • The International Atomic Energy Agency reported that the Zaporizhzhya Nuclear Power Plant temporarily lost off-site power on December 1st. Emergency diesel generators provided power needed for safety before the main connection was restored. This was the eighth such power outage during the conflict.

War and Atrocity Crimes Investigations Highlights:

  • The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine reported that between November 24 to December 1, 472 new war crimes were registered.

  • The UN reported that in 2023, 10 humanitarians have been killed and 30 have been injured.

Humanitarian Impact and Response and Recovery Highlights:

  • The Ukrainian Red Cross with support from other national societies has extended cash aid to 6,000 people this winter.

  • On November 30th, the World Health Organization donated two generators to support Ukraine's largest children's hospital and clinic.

  • The UN Development Programme has worked with the State Emergency Services to deploy 115 psychological specialists. Since February 2022, nearly 250,000 people in Ukraine have received psychological assistance.

  • The Logistics Cluster reported the following as of November 30th:

o A total of 100 interagency convoys have been supported by the cluster. These convoys consisted of 424 trucks bringing aid to 68 hard to reach locations. o The cluster has consolidated and transported 3.1 metric tons of relief supplies.

  • The Emergency Telecommunications Cluster (ETC) provided the following updates:

o New radio repeaters were installed in Kharkiv and Luch (for Kherson oblast) in collaboration with the Ukrainian Broadcasting, Radiocommunications and Television Concern (BRT) to expand the VHF radio coverage in Ukraine. This activity has been implemented in three out of the five planned locations. o The ETC continues its large-scale radio reprogramming project for UN agencies in line with the new additional frequencies. Around 87% of handheld radios and 72% of vehicle radios required in the plan have been reprogrammed. o The ETC has initiated an ‘Invincibility Points’ project in Novyi Buh, Mykolaiv oblast, to support the affected population with internet connectivity. Russian Dis-information Campaign Highlights:

  • During the online G20 summit on November 22, President Vladimir Putin made several false and misleading claims. PolyGraph Info has fact checked four of these claims.

  • EU East Stratcom Task Force Disinformation Review has collected numerous examples of Russian dis-information. They are available here.

Cultural Heritage Protection Highlights: As of November 29th, the UN Educational, Scientific and Educational Organization (UNESCO) has verified damage to 331 sites. They include:

  • 125 Religious sites

  • 144 Buildings of historical and/or artistic interest

  • 29 Museums

  • 19 Monuments

  • 13 Libraries

  • 1 Archive

Sources:

  • Ukraine ETC Situation Report #29 (Reporting period: 01/11/2023 to 30/11/2023)

  • Damaged cultural sites in Ukraine verified by UNESCO

· Ukrainian Ministry of Defense Twitter Page · Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine Twitter Page · Ukrainian State Emergency Services Twitter Page

  • OCHA Ukraine Twitter Page

· IFRC Europe Twitter Page · United Kingdom Ministry of Defense Twitter Page

  • EU East Stratcom Task Force Disinformation Review Twitter Page

  • PolyGraph Info Twitter Page

Resources UN Refugee Agency, Ukrainian Refugee Operational Data Portal http://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine Centre for Humanitarian Data, Ukraine Data Explorer https://data. humdata.org/visualization/ukraine-humanitarian-operations/ Humanitarian Logistics Association, Ukraine Crisis Information Website https://www.humanitarianlogistics.org/donate ACAPS Ukraine Analysis Hub https://ukraine-analysis-hub.acaps.org/ UKRAINE- HEALTH CLUSTER ACTIVITIES Dashboard https://www.humanitarianresponse.info/en/operations/ukraine/ukraine-health-cluster-activities U.S. Department of State, Disinformation Website https://www.state.gov/disarming-disinformation/ U.S. Department of Defense, Support for Ukraine https://www.defense.gov/Spotlights/Support-for-Ukraine/ Alliance For Securing Democracy War in Ukraine Dis-Information Dashboard https://securingdemocracy.gmfus.org/war-in-ukraine/ National Democratic Institute Disinformation Coordination Hub https://t.co/OctUrivBQC International Fact-Checking Network, Ukraine Facts https://ukrainefacts.org/ Monetary Donations


  • Ukrainian Red Cross: Cryptocurrency and PayPal

  • United Nations Crisis Relief

  • UN Refugee Agency Donations

  • UN Migration Agency Donations

  • UNESCO Paypal Account

  • International Council of Museums

  • Ukrainian Emergency Art Fund

  • WHO Foundation, Ukraine

  • Center for International Disaster Information

  • Center for Disaster Philanthropy, Ukraine

  • International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies

· Ukrainian Government United 24

  • U.S. Committee for Refugees and Immigrants



Russian Invasion of Ukraine Situation Report #95
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