Russian Invasion of Ukraine Situation Report #94

The Ukrainian military is reporting the following Russian losses:

o 322,900 Soldiers (Wounded or Killed) o 5,496 Tanks o 10,256 Armored vehicles o 7,833 Artillery o 5,800 Drones o 323 Aircraft o 324 Helicopters o 1,564 Cruise missiles

International Assistance Update:

o On November 22nd, the U.S. Department of Defense announced a new security assistance package valued up to $100 Million. The package includes additional air defense capabilities, artillery ammunition, anti-tank weapons and other materials. o Canada is donating over 11,000 assault rifles and over nine million rounds of ammunition to Ukraine. o Denmark will increase its military support for Ukraine by $336 million this year. o Lithuania has delivered three million units of 7.62×51 mm ammunition, remote detonation systems and winter equipment. o Germany announced a new military aid package for Ukraine worth 1.3 billion Euros. The capabilities in this package include: ü 4 IRIS-T systems ü 20,000 155 mm ammo ü Anti-tank mines and other weapons.

The United Kingdom’s Ministry of Defense is reporting the following:

o Russian casualties due to Long-Range precision strikes: ü Russian forces in Ukraine continue to suffer mass casualties from Ukrainian long-range precision strikes well behind the front line. On November 10th, likely over 70 Russian troops were killed in a strike on a convoy of trucks 23km behind the front line in the village of Hladkivka, Kherson Oblast. ü Subsequently, on November 19th, a strike on Russian troops attending an award ceremony or concert in Kumachove, 60km inside Russian-controlled territory, likely caused tens of casualties. Ukraine has also suffered similar incidents: a Russian ballistic missile killed 19 members of Ukraine’s 128th Separate Mountain Assault Brigade at a medal ceremony on November 3rd. ü Deployed soldiers are typically well aware of the ranges of their adversary’s weapons systems. However, faced with the reality of very long combat deployments, commanders face an acute dilemma. They must balance the best practice of keeping the troops dispersed, and less vulnerable to strikes, and the day-to-day requirement to gather units together to conduct administration and to maintain morale. o Fighting around the Village of Krynky: ü In southern Ukraine, fighting has continued around the village of Krynky where Ukrainian marines maintain a bridgehead on the east bank of the Dnipro River. ü The ground fighting has been characterized by confused, dismounted infantry combat and artillery exchanges in complex, wooded terrain. Ukraine has made particularly effective use of small attack uncrewed aerial vehicles, while the Russian Air Force is conducting significant numbers of sorties in support of frontline troops, predominantly launching munitions from beyond the range of Ukraine’s air defenses. ü The fighting around Krynky is on a smaller scale than some major battles of the war but will be considered highly unfortunate by Russian leaders. Russia withdrew from the west bank of the Dnipro River a year ago, almost certainly aiming to hold Ukrainian forces west of the river, keep the sector quiet, and free up Russian forces elsewhere. o November 18-19 Russian Drone Attack: ü Between November 18-19, Russia launched around 50 Iranian-designed Shahed one way-attack uncrewed aerial vehicles, primarily towards Kyiv. These were launched in waves on two axes – from the Kursk to the east, and from Krasnodar to the south-east. ü One of Russia’s objectives was likely to degrade Ukraine’s air defenses, to shape the battlespace ahead of any concerted winter campaign of strikes against Ukraine’s energy infrastructure. ü Russia has now refrained from launching its premier air launched cruise missiles from its heavy bomber fleet for nearly two months, likely allowing it to build up a substantial stock of these weapons. Russia is highly likely to use these missiles if it repeats last year’s effort to destroy Ukraine’s critical national infrastructure. War and Atrocity Crimes Investigations Highlights:

The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine reported that between November 17 – 24, 597 new war crimes were registered.
Europol has established a new Operational Taskforce (OTF) to assist ongoing investigations into core international crimes committed in Ukraine:

o This taskforce aims to help identify suspects and their involvement in war crimes, crimes against humanity or genocide crimes committed in Ukraine through the collection and analysis of open-source intelligence (OSINT). o Since the outbreak of the war, there is an unprecedented level of OSINT available online. Such intelligence can greatly assist investigators in verifying and recording instances of war crimes. o 14 countries have agreed to assign a dedicated OSINT capacity to the taskforce to support prioritized requests from Ukraine, other countries and the International Criminal Court.

The World Health Organization (WHO) has reported over 1,300 attacks on health care.

Humanitarian Impact and Response and Recovery Highlights: · The UN is reporting the following: o A total of 11.1 million people has been targeted to receive assistance and 10.1 million people have received assistance. o A total of 535 organizations are delivering assistance and most of these organizations (354) are National Non-Governmental Organizations.

The war continues to severely impact people's lives, damage critical civilian infrastructure and livelihoods, and trigger mandatory evacuations of civilians from front-line communities and driving high humanitarian needs.
With winter's arrival and temperatures plummeting below zero, attacks on energy infrastructure, water and gas systems could further aggravate the situation, particularly near the front line. People most affected by the war could face a tough winter and be forced to make difficult choices such as between warmth and other services.
On November 20th, the Ukrainian State Emergency Services received 40 special vehicles, 50 manual mine detectors and 150 containers of fire-extinguishing liquid from the Government of Japan.
On November 23rd, the Ukrainian Red Cross has opened a modular settlement for Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs). This settlement consists of seven two-story houses with a total of 112 apartments.
WHO on November 20th delivered medical supplies to Zaporizhzhia to support eight facilities that will meet the critical needs of the city and region (12,500 people) over the next three months.
A UN led convoy on November 24th reached the frontline community of Kuryliv in the Kharkiv Region. This convoy provided blankets, sleeping bags, emergency repair materials, hygiene kits and medicines.

Russian Dis-information Campaign Highlights:

Russia has been pushing disinformation on the false connections between weapons smuggling and terrorism, crime, and civil unrest.
The EU has detected and partially help dismantle a advertising campaign on Facebook that is promoting anti-Western and anti-Ukrainian content. These posts are on pages masquerading as online shops and categorized as ‘Musician/Band’ pages.

Cultural Heritage Protection Highlights:

As of November 15th, the UN Educational Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO) has verified damage to 329 cultural heritage sites. This includes:

o 125 Religious sites o 143 Buildings of historical and/or artistic interest o 28 Museums o 19 Monuments o 13 Libraries o 1 Archive

On November 24th, Russia struck a children's library in Kherson. The entire book collection was destroyed.
UNESCO is requesting $485 million over the next decade to assist the culture, environment and education sectors that were affected by the destruction of the Kakhovka Dam.

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