Russian Invasion of Ukraine Situation Report #93
Military and Diplomatic Highlights:
The Ukrainian military is reporting the following Russian losses:
o 316,760 Soldiers (Wounded or Killed) o 5,415 Tanks o 10,132 Armored vehicles o 7,712 Artillery o 5,709 Drones o 323 Aircraft o 324 Helicopters o 1,563 Cruise missiles o 22 Ships
o Finland has announced the 20th defense package valued at 100 million Euros. o Netherlands will be providing 2 billion Euros in military aid to Ukraine in 2024. o Germany on November 14th announced another package of military aid. This package includes: ü 10 Leopard 1 A5 tanks ü 14 Bandvagn 206 vehicles ü 5 Warthog Ambulance tracked carriers. ü 1 Winsent 1 mine clearing tank ü 10 VECTOR UAVs ü 14 GO12 ground surveillance radars ü 3 border protection vehicles ü 4 8x8 HX81 truck tractor trains ü 4 semi-trailers ü 16 Zetros trucks ü 13 MAN TGS trucks ü 3 vehicles ü 1.020 rounds 155mm ammunition ü 10.000 safety glasses ü 1.4 million rounds of ammunition for firearms o On November 13th a F-16 Training Center has been opened at the 86th Fetesti Air Base. This training center is being supported by Romania, the Netherlands, and the United States.
The United Kingdom’s Ministry of Defense is reporting the following:
o Russian use of Airborne Early Warning and Control aircraft: ü For the first time, Russia has likely started using A-50 MAINSTAY D, its Airborne Early Warning and Control aircraft, to identify targets over Ukraine for its SA-21 long-range ground-based air defense missile system. This adds to MAINSTAY’s core mission of coordinating fighter aircraft. ü Compared to SA-21’s usual ground-based radar, MAINSTAY can use its radar to spot adversary aircraft at longer ranges because its altitude allows it to see further around the curvature of the earth. ü Russia has likely expedited integrating MAINSTAY and SA-21 partially because it is concerned about the prospect of Ukraine deploying Western-provided combat aircraft. ü There is a realistic possibility that Russia will accept more risk by flying MAINSTAY closer to the front-line to effectively carry out its new role. o Russian attack on Avdiivka town: ü Over the last week, Russian forces have continued attacks towards outlying villages of the contested town of Avdiivka, Donetsk Oblast. Russia is almost certainly attempting a pincer movement to encircle the town. Avdiivka has been fought over for nearly a decade and holds political importance to Russia given its proximity to Donetsk city. ü Recent advances have likely brought Russian forces close to the Ukrainian-held Avdiivka Coke and Chemical Plant, a sprawling industrial complex which produces coke and a variety of chemicals, occupies a key tactical position to the north of the town. The plant dominates the main road into Avdiivka and, if Russian forces were to secure it, resupplying the town would become increasingly difficult for Ukraine. ü However, the industrial facility provides Ukraine with a localized defensive advantage and Russian forces will probably suffer significant personnel losses if they attempt to assault the facility. o Russian announced increase production of Laser-Guided Munitions: ü Russia has announced it will increase production of its 152mm Krasnopol-M2 laser-guided artillery munitions and improve the round’s poor weather performance. Russian artillery has already achieved success with Krasnopol, often using it to accurately target individual Ukrainian vehicles. Russia’s defense industry has been failing to make enough conventional munitions. The planned increase in Krasnopol manufacturing is likely an attempt to use production capacity more efficiently. ü Russia utilizes uncrewed aerial vehicles to designate targets for Krasnopol, by shining a laser beam at the target. However, low cloud has been the key limiting factor in the round’s performance because its laser detector does not have time to spot the laser energy and maneuver for striking. ü Russian industry will likely attempt to improve Krasnopol’s flight performance and reduce the round’s laser detection time. As winter weather closes in, it is likely that Russia’s access to improved precision munitions will be one of the key factors in its operational performance in Ukraine.
The International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) reported that the Zaporizhzhya Muclear Power Plant (ZNPP) lost power this week forcing it to rely on an emergency generator for cooling needs. ZNPP is investigating the cause of the power outage. The other five reactors at the plant were unaffected.
War and Atrocity Crimes Investigations Highlights: · A total of 28.3 million civilians have been killed since the start of the Russian invasion.
The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine reported that between November 10-17, 681 new war crimes were registered.
The United States announced that it will provide $1 million to the International Centre for the Prosecution of the Crime of Aggression Against Ukraine.
As of November 14th, the World Health Organization (WHO) has verified over 1,300 attacks on health care in Ukraine.
Humanitarian Impact and Response and Recovery Highlights: · There are 5.8 million refugees registered in Europe and 3.6 million Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) in the country. · A total of 4.5 million people have returned to Ukraine. · The UN reports that 17.6 million people need assistance. · A total of 1.7 million people are targeted to receive winter assistance and 361,000 have so far been reached. · The Ukrainian Red Cross is reporting the following: o On November 15th, in concert with Coca Cola they donated two modular boiler houses to Uman to provide heat to the city's residential buildings in case of emergency outages. A total of 37 of these boilers have been purchased and will soon be deployed in communities across the country. o On November 16th in concert with World Food Programme (WFP) they provided 3,000 food packages to the population of Kherson Oblast. · The WFP is planning to serve 2.4 million people every month during the upcoming winter season. · On November 17th, a UN convoy delivered medical kits, sleeping bags, solar lamps and other winter essentials for the front-line communities of Marinka and Vuhledar. · WHO Updates: o On November 14th, as part of an interagency convoy to Primorske in the Zaporizhzhia region they delivered essential medical supplies and medicines to two healthcare facilities. These facilities provide services for 3,500 people. o WHO provided a generator to the Kharkiv Region Center of Oncology on November 15th. This medical center provides care to 47,000 people. Russian Dis-information Campaign Highlights:
Russian media outlets are focusing on crises outside the country to distract the Russian public on issues within the country.
Cultural Heritage Protection Highlights:
Russia has been excluded from the Executive Council of the UN Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization (UNESCO).
The Ukrainian Ministry of Culture and Information Policy reported that they have begun installing the Blue Shield mark on mosaics in Lviv. They are planning on marking a total of 20 works throughout the city.
On November 6th, the Museum of Fine Arts in Odesa was again damaged by a Russian airstrike.
Ukraine: Humanitarian Situation Snapshot (October 2023)
WFP Ukraine External Situation Report #43 (6 November 2023)
Ukraine Red Cross Twitter Page
OCHA Ukraine Twitter Page
WHO Ukraine Twitter Page
IAEA Twitter Page
UNESCO Kyiv Twitter Page
· United Kingdom Ministry of Defense Twitter Page
EU East Stratcom Task Force Disinformation Review Twitter Page
Resources NATO’s approach to countering disinformation (New) https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_219728.htm?selectedLocale=en UN Refugee Agency, Ukrainian Refugee Operational Data Portal http://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine Centre for Humanitarian Data, Ukraine Data Explorer https://data. humdata.org/visualization/ukraine-humanitarian-operations/ Humanitarian Logistics Association, Ukraine Crisis Information Website https://www.humanitarianlogistics.org/donate ACAPS Ukraine Analysis Hub https://ukraine-analysis-hub.acaps.org/ UKRAINE- HEALTH CLUSTER ACTIVITIES Dashboard https://www.humanitarianresponse.info/en/operations/ukraine/ukraine-health-cluster-activities U.S. Department of State, Disinformation Website https://www.state.gov/disarming-disinformation/ U.S. Department of Defense, Support for Ukraine https://www.defense.gov/Spotlights/Support-for-Ukraine/ Alliance For Securing Democracy War in Ukraine Dis-Information Dashboard https://securingdemocracy.gmfus.org/war-in-ukraine/ National Democratic Institute Disinformation Coordination Hub https://t.co/OctUrivBQC International Fact-Checking Network, Ukraine Facts https://ukrainefacts.org/ Monetary Donations
Ukrainian Red Cross: Cryptocurrency and PayPal
United Nations Crisis Relief
UN Refugee Agency Donations
UN Migration Agency Donations
UNESCO Paypal Account
International Council of Museums
Ukrainian Emergency Art Fund
WHO Foundation, Ukraine
Center for International Disaster Information
Center for Disaster Philanthropy, Ukraine
International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies
U.S. Committee for Refugees and Immigrants