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Writer's pictureEmergency Manager's Weekly Report

Russian Invasion of Ukraine Situation Report #79

Military and Diplomatic Highlights:

  • As of July 13th, the Ukrainian military is reporting the following Russian losses:

o 236,040 Soldiers (Wounded or Killed) o 4,092 Tanks o 7,999 Armored Vehicles o 4,425 Artillery o 315 Aircraft o 310 Helicopters o 3,752 Drones

  • The Ukrainian government has signed two recent agreements with France and Sweden:

o France: This agreement includes the following: ü Military aid will increase to 170 million Euros. ü A simplified process will be established for the procurement and supply of weapons. ü A framework is being established for the joint production of spare parts and the maintenance of foreign weapons and equipment. o Sweden: An agreement was signed on cooperation in defense procurement.

  • On July 11th, 11 countries signed an agreement with Ukraine on training Ukrainian pilots on F-16 fighter jets.

  • The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has agreed on a package with three elements to continue to assist Ukraine. The package includes:

o A new multi-year assistance program to facilitate the transition of the Ukrainian armed forces from Soviet era to NATO standards. o Rebuild Ukraine’s security and defense sector, with emphasis on fuel, demining equipment, and medical supplies.

  • The United Kingdom’s Ministry of Defense is reporting the following:

o Russian Navy Day fleet review: ü On July 12th, Russian state media reported that nuclear-powered submarines of Russia's Northern Fleet will not be taking part in the main Navy Day fleet review in St. Petersburg on July 30th. ü Since the current Navy Day format was established in 2017, this would be the first year that no nuclear-powered submarines have been involved. The change is likely primarily due to allow for maintenance and to retain availability for operations and training. ü There is also a realistic possibility that internal security concerns since Wagner Group’s attempted mutiny have contributed to the decision. o Russian General Valery Gerasimov: ü On July 10th, Russian Chief of the General Staff General Valery Gerasimov made his first TV appearance since the abortive Wagner mutiny of June 24. ü Gerasimov was seen being briefed by video link by Russian Aerospace Forces Chief of Staff Colonel-General Viktor Afzalov. Afzalov has been in post for at least four years, but this is probably his first public appearance with Gerasimov. ü Afzalov is deputy to Commander-in-Chief Russian Aerospace Forces, General Sergei Surovikin. Afzalov’s increased public profile, while Surovikin’s whereabouts remains unclear, adds further weight to the hypothesis that Surovikin was sidelined following the mutiny. o Russian Military Volunteer Quotas: ü Moscow’s municipal authorities are likely threatening to withdraw contracts from construction firms if they fail to hit quotas for providing ‘volunteers’ to serve in Ukraine. One company has reportedly been targeted to provide 30 volunteers by the end of August 2023. ü The move will likely primarily affect ethnic minorities from poorer regions of Russia such as Dagestan and central Asian states, who make up most of Moscow’s construction workers. ü This measure is highly likely endorsed by Moscow’s mayor Sergey Sobyanin. It continues his track record of trying to minimize the impact of the conflict on better-off Muscovites, while still being seen to support the war effort.

  • The U.S. Department of Defense have announced the mobilization of select reserve forces (up to 3,000 personnel). These personnel will augment armed forces in support of Operation Atlantic Resolve.

  • The International Atomic Energy Agency has continued to inspect parts of the Zaporizhzhya nuclear power plant. They haven’t identified any additional mines or explosives but are still waiting to gain access to the rooftops of reactor units 3 and 4.

War and Atrocity Crimes Investigations Highlights:

  • The UN High Commissioner of Human Rights on July 14th recorded 9,177 total civilian fatalities.

  • The Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine between July 7-14 registered 1,040 new war crimes.

  • On July 9th, Russian forces launched two guided aerial bombs and destroyed the largest civilian shelter in Orikhiv:

o A total of four civilians were killed and 11 people were injured. o The four people killed were volunteers with World Central Kitchen. o The attack which was the third type of attack this week was condemnedby the UN Humanitarian Coordinator. Humanitarian Impact and Response and Recovery Highlights:

  • There are now 6.1 million refugees recorded throughout Europe and 5.1 Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs):

o A recent survey found that 76% of refugees and 82% of the IDPs want to return home. o The Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Mykolaiv regions are among the top areas of intended return where the UN Refugee Agency has helped repair 5,500 homes and assisted 93,000 people with legal aid services.

  • The Ukrainian State Emergency Services continue to respond to the impact of Russian attacks in Kherson. On July 13th, units made 30 rescues.

  • Healthcare and Public Health Updates:

o Through the EU Civil Protection Mechanism more than 2,350 Ukrainian patient were transported to hospitals in 21 countries: ü These patients suffer from severe war wounds or conditions that cannot currently be easily treated inside Ukraine, such as cancers requiring specialized treatments and conditions necessitating rehabilitation support. ü Over 370 patients have requested and been supported to return to Ukraine once the acute phase of their treatment has ended. o To address the increased health needs in the Dnipro region due to the war and in response to the Kakhovka Dam the World Health Organization (WHO) has donated health kits to support 100,000 patients with trauma, chronic diseases, and essential health needs. o WHO in partnership with the Ministry of Health on July 15th opened a new primary modular health care clinic in the Kharkiv region. This clinic will provide primary healthcare for chronic conditions for 10,000 people. o WHO as of July 13th has recorded 1,067 attacks on healthcare which have killed 101 people and injured 139 people.

  • Recovery Monetary Donations Update:

o The Ukrainian United 24 Project has raised 200 million Ukrainian hryvnia. These funds have been used to help rescuers in the Kherson region, purchased more than 500 drones that have been sent to the front, and rebuild numerous infrastructure facilities. o The UN continues to encourage companies to donate funds to assist in response and recovery efforts. Companies can donate on the UN Crisis Relief Website.

  • Black Sea Grain Initiative Update (July 9):

o There have been 1,003 outbound voyages which have carried 35 million tons of commodities. o A total of 3.8 million tons of wheat have been shipped to lower income countries. Russian Dis-information Campaign Highlights:

  • The Russian Embassy distorted the United States announcement of supplying cluster munitions to Ukraine that it confessed to committing war crimes. The fact check is available here.

  • The Russian government frequently manipulates history to legitimize its actions. An analysis of this tactic is available here.

Cultural Heritage Protection Highlights:

  • On July 9th an agreement was signed with the EU to create an International Fund for the Protection of Cultural Heritage.

Sources:

· Ukrainian Ministry of Defense Twitter Page · Ukrainian State Emergency Services Twitter Page · Ukrainian Ministry of Culture and Information Policy Twitter Page · Prosecutor General's Office of Ukraine Twitter Page · NATO Twitter Page · United Kingdom Ministry of Defense Twitter Page · U.S. Department of Defense Twitter Page · PolyGraph Info Twitter Page · EU East Stratcom Task Force Disinformation Review Twitter Page · World Central Kitchen Twitter Page Resources ACAPS, Ukraine: quarterly humanitarian access update (New) https://www.acaps.org/en/countries/archives/detail/ukraine-quarterly-humanitarian-access-update UN Refugee Agency, Ukrainian Refugee Operational Data Portal http://data2.unhcr.org/en/situations/ukraine Centre for Humanitarian Data, Ukraine Data Explorer https://data. humdata.org/visualization/ukraine-humanitarian-operations/ Humanitarian Logistics Association, Ukraine Crisis Information Website https://www.humanitarianlogistics.org/donate ACAPS Ukraine Analysis Hub https://ukraine-analysis-hub.acaps.org/ UKRAINE- HEALTH CLUSTER ACTIVITIES Dashboard https://www.humanitarianresponse.info/en/operations/ukraine/ukraine-health-cluster-activities U.S. Department of State, Disinformation Website https://www.state.gov/disarming-disinformation/ U.S. Department of Defense, Support for Ukraine https://www.defense.gov/Spotlights/Support-for-Ukraine/ Alliance For Securing Democracy War in Ukraine Dis-Information Dashboard https://securingdemocracy.gmfus.org/war-in-ukraine/ National Democratic Institute Disinformation Coordination Hub https://t.co/OctUrivBQC International Fact-Checking Network, #Ukraine Facts https://ukrainefacts.org/ Monetary Donations


  • Ukrainian Red Cross: Cryptocurrency and PayPal

  • United Nations Crisis Relief

  • UN Refugee Agency Donations

  • UN Migration Agency Donations

  • UNESCO Paypal Account

  • International Council of Museums

  • Ukrainian Emergency Art Fund

  • WHO Foundation, Ukraine

  • Center for International Disaster Information

  • Center for Disaster Philanthropy, Ukraine

  • International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies

· Ukrainian Government United 24




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