India/Pakistan Conflict Situation Report #1

India-Pakistan Conflict SitRep #1.pdf

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Highlights:  

·       On April 22nd, separatist militants shot and killed at least 26 tourists, mostly Hindus, in the resort town of Pahalgam in the Kashmir Valley:

o   Initial reports attributed the attack to The Resistance Front (TRF), believed to be an offshoot of the Pakistan-based Lashkar-e-Taiba (LeT).

o   The TRF has denied involvement.

o   TRF has been involved in at least 23 attacks targeting civilians, mainly non-Kashmiris and Hindus, since the group’s founding in 2019.

·       On May 7th, India carried out missile strikes targeting what it called terrorist infrastructure (training camps and seminaries linked to the LeT and the Jaish-e-Mohammad) at nine places within Pakistan-administered Kashmir and Pakistan: 

o   These attacks resulted in 31 fatalities and 57 people injured.

o   In response, Pakistan shot down five Indian jets.

o   Between May 8-9, there was several cross-border attacks involving drones and artillery shelling. As of May 8th, Pakistan reported they shot down at least 25 Indian drones. 

·       The Pakistan State Disaster Management Authority reported that a state of emergency order is in place in Muzaffarabad, Neelum, Haveli, Jhelum Valley, and Kotli:

o   There are mobility restrictions, road closures, and civilians are advised to evacuate from high-risk zones.

o   At least 529 families have been displaced in Pakistan and 139 homes have been damaged.

·       The suspension of the Indus water treaty between India and Pakistan has cut off the water supply to around 80% of Pakistan’s irrigated agriculture.

Sources:

·       Rapid Needs Assessment Report - AJ&K, May 2025

·       ACLED Regional Overview Asia-Pacific: May 2025

·       Islamic Relief ready to respond as India-Pakistan tensions rise, May 8th 

·       Nuclear Threat Initiative Twitter Page 

·       Council on Foreign Relations Twitter Page 

Resources

Statement from Ernest J. Moniz on India-Pakistan Conflict

https://www.nti.org/news/statement-from-ernest-j-moniz-on-india-pakistan-conflict/

International Crisis Group, Pulling India and Pakistan Back from the Brink

https://www.crisisgroup.org/asia/south-asia/india-pakistan-india-pakistan-kashmir/pulling-india-and-pakistan-back-brink?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

Statement by UNICEF on recent hostilities between India and Pakistan

https://reliefweb.int/report/india/statement-unicef-recent-hostilities-between-india-and-pakistan